University Impact Analysis Expense Assignment
Hello IMPLAN team,
Thanks in advance for any insight you can provide- I appreciate the support you've been able to provide to me in the past!
I’m in the process of conducting an economic impact analysis for a large public university. I’ve been using the following article as a starting point, though I think our analysis will end up having to be more complex: http://www.aplu.org/document.doc?id=4484.
I’ve been looking particularly at Method #4 in which the production coefficients are modified or potentially Method #3. Method #4 involves modifying the private university sector 392 as a starting point and Method #3 is a true bill of goods approach. Ideally I’ll be able to use Method #3, but in the interest of time, it may be easier to use Method #4 to “balance” some of the smaller spending categories.
Regardless of which method I choose, I need to essentially create a crosswalk between the university’s expense categories and IMPLAN sectors. This has been quite challenging so far, and so far I have been matching expense types to IMPLAN sectors, such as “Information Technology Equipment (Including computers)” to IMPLAN sector 234 Electronic Computers. As I reread the previously mentioned article today and was working on the crosswalk, it occurred to me that the university is likely not buying the computers directly from the computer manufacturer, but rather from a computer wholesaler or retailer. I then realized that wholesale expenses in the example in Method #4 in the article make up a substantial portion of the categorized expenses.
My question is then, when the university buys something such as a computer, supplies, lab equipment, etc., should this be categorized as the actual commodity (234 Electronic Computers) or rather wholesale? If wholesale is the correct answer, my assumption would then be that the manufacturers of the computers, supplies, and lab equipment are captured in the next round of spending. While this makes sense to me intuitively, there is only one wholesale trade sector that lumps all of these expenses together and the details (that I now have) will be left for the model to estimate (essentially how much of the wholesale trade is allocated to each commodity). Does this make sense? Please let me know if I can provide any clarification- we’ve been given access to a plethora of data for this impact analysis, and I want to make sure I use it properly!
Thanks again for any advice you can give.
Claire
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IMPLAN SupportHi Claire, That is a great question and exactly the concern that we were think of in regards to your post as we were reading through it. This is unfortunately a bit of a laborious process, but hopefully the attached spreadsheet will help you through it. You are absolutely correct that the wholesale Sector is generic, and thus is not able to associate to a particular type of purchase, and also correct that applying it all just to computer manufacturing is not correct. What you will need to do is calculate out the Margin splits for each item that is purchased through a wholesaler, and if you are assuming no retail production, you will also need to adjust the values so that the portion of the Margin assigned to the retailer is adjusted down into the wholesale, transport and production elements of the Margin. So what you will need to do is use the Excel table to match your Sector to the Sector column in the table and then split the value of the purchase across the appropriate listed Sectors. As an example, if you were splitting a purchase of Sector 2 Grain Farming, the table reads: Sector MarginSector MarginValue 2 2 0.388031239 2 319 0.193879404 2 320 0 2 321 0 2 322 0 2 323 0 2 324 0.280330548 2 325 0 2 326 0 2 327 0 2 328 0 2 329 0 2 330 0 2 331 0 2 332 0.003904831 2 333 0.058118416 2 334 0.040410461 2 335 0.0353251 2 337 0 So 38.8% of the expenditure value would go to Sector 2, 19.4% to wholesale (319), 28% to retail grocery (324), ~13.8% to various transport. If you wanted to remove the retailer, you would remove the retailer portion and redistribute or normalize the remaining Margin coefficients. Sector MarginSector MarginValue 2 2 0.539179812 2 319 0.269400631 2 320 2 321 2 322 2 323 2 324 2 325 2 326 2 327 2 328 2 329 2 330 2 331 2 332 0.005425867 2 333 0.080757097 2 334 0.056151419 2 335 0.049085174 2 337 You will then sum the wholesale, and transport components of all the Sectors you know are purchased into a final spending pattern result that will include an aggregate value of wholesale purchases for all commodities. If you are having trouble with the mapping are you using our Help>Sector Search feature? The Sector search can be sorted by clicking the Industry Code column. You can then scroll down through the industry codes until you find the codes you are interested in examining. The associated NAICS descriptions will show you the types of Activities that will report into each category. This is often helpful in determining Sectors. We also have an Excel based version we can point you too if you would like. You will also want to be sure that all your Events in the imported spending pattern have Local Purchase Percentage set to SAM Model Value, this will allow the Model to make estimates of local purchasing ability of all commodities in your spending pattern. [attachment=487]2012CommonMargins.xlsx[/attachment] Please let me know if this addresses your concern or if you have any additional questions.0 -
Hello, I have a very similar question. I have information on specific commodities that are purchased from wholesalers. Can I use this process to get the impacts for each commodity? 1)Create a commodity change 2)Apply margins 3)Edit margins - zero out the retail margin and normalize My further question here is about transport. I assume there are two legs of transport: between the producer and the wholesaler and between the wholesaler and the retailer. Based on the steps I've outlined above, it seems that I will be assuming that all of the transportation expenses are accrued in the first leg (between the producer and wholesaler). Does this seem reasonable / do you have any better way to go about this? Thank you! Cathy0
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IMPLAN SupportHi Cathy, Yes, we would certainly recommend zeroing out the retail margin in this case. However, whether you want to renormalize across all margin sectors or not is not as straightforward. Do you think the wholesaler and transporters really get a larger cut when there's no retailer? When a retailer is involved, the transportation margins involve both legs - so the transportation margin probably would not increase when there is no retailer since there is actually less transportation needed. Perhaps it is more likely that the producer gets to keep the difference - or splits the difference with the wholesaler. For this type of question you basically need to exercise what you think is the best option, and then be sure to state how you handled it in your results.0
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