How to Model Job Loss Scenario

As part of our analysis, we need to calculate the economic impact (“Value Added”) of projected job losses. My question is, what is the Activity Type that should be chosen to model projected job losses?? Currently, we are assuming the Activity Type should be “Household Income Change.” Please confirm that “Household Income Change” is the correct Activity Type to model projected job losses –OR- if this is not the correct Activity Type, please let me know the correct Activity Type to use when modeling projected job losses. Thank you in advance for your assistance.
Was this post helpful?
0 out of 0 found this helpful

Comments

1 comment

  • Hello , If your job loss occurs without any change or interruption in production then it would be appropriate to look at an Activity Type other than an Industry Change; however, if there is a change in production associated to the jobs loss, the most appropriate Activity Type would be Industry Change as this will capture the Value Added loss both associated to the decreased labor dollars and the decrease in purchases of Intermediate Expenditures used for production. If production is uninterrupted and you have job losses, if you are working with a value of labor payment loss (that is a fully loaded payroll loss that includes the value of the employee/employer taxes and benefits) you would want to use the Labor Income Change Activity. Household Income Change Activity would be if you were starting with a value that already had payroll taxes and benefits removed, but still included savings and income taxes. Thus the correct Activity Type depends on what type of economic change you are describing and what your starting value represents. Please let us know if you need any additional help or have more questions.
    0

Please sign in to leave a comment.