1. IMPLAN - Support
  2. Community
  3. Data Questions

What happened to fruit farming in NYS in 2019

Avatar
schmi_ny

I have been looking at fruit farming (4) in NY and can't wrap my head around the change in the TAV for 2019. In 2018 it was around .40 and in 2020 around 0.30, but in 2019 it was less than 0.02. What happened?

I checked the national model (since all sub area models originate from it (and the national table of accounts), but it didn't happen there. For the US it was around .4, .3, and .3 for 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively.

Of note, there was a large in crease OPI and TOPI for 2019 in NY. I am trying to look at the cost of inputs in 2019 versus 2020 (the covid year), but something seems amiss here.

 

Was this post helpful?
0 out of 0 found this helpful

Comments

2 comments

Sort by Date Votes
  • Official comment
    Avatar
    Michael Nealy

    Hello!

    So I sent your inquiry over to the IMPLAN Data Team to try and get to the bottom of what we are seeing in this Industry for 2019. They responded with the following: 

    “Of note, there was a large increase OPI and TOPI for 2019 in NY”.  Indeed that is the case, with the change in TOPI being the biggest. 

    It looks to me that the main change from 2018 to 2019 was an improvement in methodology (namely, the use of non-lagged raw data!) as described toward the bottom of the 2019 data release notes: https://support.implan.com/hc/en-us/articles/360058808353-2019-Data-Release-Notes

    Regarding the change from 2019 to 2020, the raw BEA data for TOPI for NY shows a large drop in TOPI for the “Farm” industry  (115,640     in 2019 vs. -448,166 in 2020).  We distribute that value among the IMPLAN sectors based on either ERS ARMS data (if it exists for the state in that year) or the latest BEA Benchmark.  New York is not covered by ERS ARMS data in any of the 3 years in question.

    Hope this helps!

    Michael Nealy

  • Avatar
    schmi_ny

    related, TOPI in 2018 may be unusally low due to Trump China trade war subsidies. Since, ultimately intermediate input expenditures are a residual: IIE= OUtput-TVA, maybe that is the consequence for this one year. Todd

     

    0

Please sign in to leave a comment.