INTRODUCTION:
IMPLAN is the leading provider of economic impact data and analytical software. The company began in 1972 working with the US Forest Service and has grown to a current user base of academics, governments, economic developers, corporations, nonprofits, and consultants. For a brief review of IMPLAN through the years, check out our History page.
Input-Output (I-O) modeling is based on the work of Nobel Prize winner Wassily Leontief. The foundational concept is that all industries, households, and government in the economy are connected through buy-sell relationships, therefore a given economic activity supports a ripple of additional economic activity throughout the economy. IMPLAN is an I-O modeling system that uses annual, regional data to map these buy-sell relationships so users can predict how specific economic changes will impact a given regional economy or estimate the effect of past or existing economic activity.
One of the tenets that makes IMPLAN so attractive is that there are no black boxes. Analysts can view the background data used in the models and customize them with local data and knowledge.
DATA SOURCES:
Constructing IMPLAN's annual databases requires gathering data from a large variety of federal sources, converting them to a consistent sectoring scheme and year, estimating the missing components, and controlling the newly formatted data against other known data sources to maintain accuracy. For details on how IMPLAN constructs the datasets, visit the Data Sources & Methodology for a full explanation.
IMPLAN Sector codes are based on definitions put forth by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Each year, IMPLAN gathers current data at the national level, compiles it into the IMPLAN data format, and derives new national Input-Output matrices, as well as national tables for deflators, margins, and regional purchasing coefficients. Data for state, county, zip code, and congressional districts are then gathered and controlled to the national totals.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS:
IMPLAN data sets provide a wealth of data about the regional economy, including industry data (e.g., industry output, labor income, input purchases, taxes paid), commodity data (e.g., foreign and domestic imports and exports by commodity, commodity sales by government and industry), household spending data, area demographics, and more. Understanding the interactions between the various actors in an economy (industries, households, governments) and between economies (trade) allows for the modeling of wider economic impacts across industries and geographies. This section describes some of the core economic indicators that can be found in IMPLAN.
Output
All analysis in IMPLAN is based on Output, which is the value of production by industry in a calendar year.
IMPLAN's output values for most services sectors come from the BEA's Output series, while the output values for most manufacturing sectors come from the Census Bureau's Annual Survey of Manufactures. Farm sector output relies on the USDA's annual NASS and ERS data, as well as the Census of Agriculture. Data from the Energy Information Administration are used for several sectors, as described here. Since output is the total production value of a Sector, it includes all components of production value or output for a given Sector: Output = Employee Compensation + Proprietor Income + Tax on Production and Imports + Other Property Income + Intermediate Inputs.
Value Added
Value Added represents the difference between Output and the cost of Intermediate Inputs}. Value Added is a measure of the contribution to GDP made by an Industry or Sector.
Labor Income
Labor Income (LI) is the sum of Employee Compensation (EC) and Proprietor Income (PI). It represents the combined cost of total payroll paid to employees (e.g. wages and salaries, benefits, payroll taxes) and payments received by self-employed individuals and/or unincorporated business in a given year.
Other Property Income
Other Property Income (OPI), consists primarily of corporate profits but also includes an allowance for the consumption of fixed capital (depreciation) and net business current transfer payments. Subsidies for government enterprises is considered negative profit, therefore any subsidization of a government enterprise will count as a negative value towards the government enterprise Sector’s OPI.
Taxes on Production & Imports
Taxes on Production & Imports, Net of Subsidies (TOPI) includes sales and excise taxes, customs duties, property taxes, motor vehicle licenses, severance taxes, other taxes, and special assessments. For all Sectors other than government enterprises, subsidies are counted as a negative value towards TOPI.
Employment
Employment data in IMPLAN follows the same definition as Bureau of Economic Analysis Regional Economic Accounts (BEA REA) and Bureau of Labor Statistics Census of Employment and Wages (BLS CEW) data, which is full-time/part-time annual average. Thus, 1 job lasting 12 months = 2 jobs lasting 6 months each = 3 jobs lasting 4 months each. A job can be either full-time or part-time. Similarly, a job that lasts one quarter of the year would be 0.25 jobs. Note that a person can hold more than one job, so the job count is not necessarily the same as the count of employed persons. Jobs in IMPLAN are not the same as a full-time equivalent number.
ECONOMIC EFFECTS:
Input-Output (I-O) Analysis is designed to predict the ripple effects of a given economic activity in other industries and geographies through input purchases, labor payments, and trade. Production in a given Sector in an economy supports demand for production in Sectors throughout the economy, both due to supply chain spending and spending by workers. For details on how this works, visit the article Industry Impacts: Direct, Indirect, and Induced Effects.
Direct Effect
A Direct effect is the initial exogenous change in final demand in terms of Industry Output, Employment, and/or Labor Income. For Industry, Commodity, and Institutional Spending Pattern Events, the Event Value entered is assumed to be final demand. Thus, the Event Value(s) entered in these Event Types will be used to determine the Direct Effect of the Event. Labor Income, Household Income, and Industry Spending Pattern Events do not generate Direct Effects.
Indirect Effect
Indirect effects are the business to business purchases in the supply chain taking place in the region that stem from the initial industry input purchases. As the Industry specified in an Event spends its money in the region with their suppliers, this spending is shown through the Indirect Effect.
Labor Income and Household Income Events do not generate Indirect Effects because no initial industry is specified in these Event Types.
Induced Effect
The Induced Effects stem from labor income being spent throughout the selected region(s) associated with the industries specified in the Event (direct effect) and those impacted through the supply chain (indirect effects).
Written November 12, 2019
Updated April 26, 2022
Comments
0 comments
Article is closed for comments.